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TMAD Crypto: Clarity Act and Bitcoin at 200DMA

$BTC $ETH $ETHA $IBIT $IREN $CIFR $HUT $MSTR $COIN $MARA

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Trading Mindset & Data
May 09, 2026
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Hi everyone,

The first week of May 2026 has been a pivot point for the markets. A sudden legislative thaw in Washington acted as the catalyst, sending Bitcoin through a psychological barrier and shifting the broader “risk-on” sentiment into high gear.

Here is the breakdown of the major moves and what they mean for the coming weeks.

The Breakthrough: Bitcoin and the CLARITY Act

The primary driver of this week’s rally was the CLARITY Act compromise. By distinguishing between “bank-like” stablecoin yields and rewards tied to platform utility, regulators finally cleared a path for major players like Coinbase and Circle.

  • Market Reaction: Bitcoin surged past $80,000, its highest point since February.

  • The Next Hurdle: All eyes are now on the 200-day Moving Average (around $83,000). Historically, this level serves as the “Great Divide”—if Bitcoin claims it, the rally likely shifts from a bounce to a sustained recovery. A rejection here, however, could turn $80,000 back into a ceiling.

The Institutional “Wall of Money”

While retail sentiment remains cautious, the data reveals a massive transfer of ownership.

  • Record Accumulation: Institutional participants net-purchased 50,351 BTC in Q1 2026—the largest quarter on record.

  • The Absorption Rate: Institutions are buying Bitcoin at 2.8 times the rate of new production. Effectively, they are vacuuming up the supply shed by retail sellers (shorter-term holders), who offloaded roughly 62,000 BTC this quarter.

What’s Next?

The Senate Banking Committee is expected to schedule a markup for the CLARITY Act as early as the week of May 11. Until then, the market is likely to trade on the tension surrounding that $83k level. If the legislation moves forward and the technical resistance breaks, a path toward $90,000 begins to look less like a dream and more like a target.

Now, let’s look at charts and levels on crypto, miners and other related stocks such as:

BTC, ETH, IREN, MARA, CIFR, HUT, MSTR, and COIN.

Let’s begin!

BITCOIN - BTC

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